The First Arctic Blue Ocean Event: What Computer Simulations and Statistical Trend Analysis Tells Us

Paul Beckwith

Apr 6, 2020

In this video and the next, I continue my examination of Arctic sea ice data which gives us a clear picture of its present state and clearly shows the relentless downward trends in extent, thickness, and volume that allows each of us to draw our own conclusions about when it will vanish in a Blue Ocean Event (BOE). It is just a matter of time before the ice vanishes, but how much time are we talking about? I give my own educated opinion (guess), and draw on some recent peer-reviewed scientific papers that attempt narrow down the timing of the first BOE, from both computer modelling simulations and statistical trend analysis.

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